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How U.S. foreign investment policies could reshape NRI investment patterns in Indian real estate

As U.S. foreign investment and immigration policies face potential tightening, particularly under a possible Trump administration, Non-Resident Indians (NRIs) are reconsidering their financial strategies. Industry leaders point to a notable shift in NRI investment behaviors, with many looking to Indian real estate as a safe and lucrative alternative.

Key players in the real estate sector highlight several converging factors driving this trend. These include rising uncertainty around U.S. work visas and foreign investments, the depreciation of the rupee, and India’s streamlined real estate investment frameworks.

NRIs are increasingly focusing on premium commercial properties and luxury residential markets in cities like Mumbai, Delhi-NCR, Bangalore, and Hyderabad. This transition reflects not only financial prudence but also a desire for long-term security amidst global uncertainties. Additionally, advancements in India’s regulatory landscape and digital transaction platforms are making cross-border investments more seamless than ever before.

Aman Gupta, Director of RPS Group, says, the anticipated return of Trump, coupled with stringent US policies, could potentially bolster the Indian real estate market.

“We are observing a dual trend where NRIs are investing not solely for financial returns but also to establish contingency plans. NRIs are increasingly concentrating on Grade A commercial properties and the luxury residential sectors in Mumbai, Delhi-NCR, and Bangalore. Recent modifications in India’s regulatory framework for real estate, along with the development of online platforms for transactions, have made it easier for NRIs to invest from overseas, thereby contributing to this trend,” he says.

Manoj Goyal, Director, Forteasia Realty Pvt Ltd, says, “The tightening of H1B visa regulations and work permits under the Trump administration could lead to a rise in NRI investments in Indian real estate. This trend is likely due to the uncertainty surrounding U.S. immigration policies, prompting NRIs to repatriate their funds and invest them back in India. Notably, there has already been a 15 percent increase in inquiries from NRIs regarding luxury residential properties in metropolitan areas. Additionally, the depreciation of the rupee has made it more advantageous for NRIs to invest in Indian real estate, allowing them to achieve significant savings on property purchases.”

A clear trend has emerged under the Trump administration, where states are likely to implement stricter foreign investment regulations, potentially leading to an increase in NRI investments in the Indian real estate market.

“Furthermore, the investment preferences of NRIs are evolving; previously, their focus was predominantly on residential properties, but there is now a growing interest in commercial real estate, particularly in technology-driven regions. Fueled by the strong performance of the IT sector in India, there has been a 25 percent rise in NRI capital outflows directed towards commercial property acquisitions in cities like Bangalore, Hyderabad, and Pune, where these properties are generating consistent rental yields ranging from eight to ten percent,” says Anurag Goel, Director, Goel Ganga Developments.

These evolving dynamics underscore how geopolitical shifts abroad can ripple through India’s real estate market, opening new opportunities while reshaping NRI investment priorities.